Canadian Forest Service Publications

Quantifying the water resource impacts of mountain pine beetle and associated salvage harvest operations across a range of watershed scales: Hydrologic modeling of the Fraser River Basin. 2010. Schnorbus, M.; Bennett, K.; Werner, A. Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, BC. Information Report BC-X-423. 64 p.

Year: 2010

Available from: Pacific Forestry Centre

Catalog ID: 31207

Language: English

Series: Information Report (PFC - Victoria)

CFS Availability: Order paper copy (free), PDF (download)

Abstract

The province of British Columbia, Canada is currently experiencing the largest mountain pine beetle outbreak ever recorded in North America. Widespread mortality of pine trees has occurred in over 14.5 million ha of forest (an area roughly twice the size of Ireland) and the outbreak continues to kill mature pine in the province. Although the beetle attacks all pine species native to British Columbia forests, lodgepole pine is the most abundant species by area and the most predominant commercial species. Consequently, an aggressive program of salvage harvesting has been initiated and is now superimposed on an already-severe landscape-level disturbance. The epicenter of the current outbreak is in the Fraser River Basin (230 000 km2), where roughly 8 million ha of forest, approximately 35% of the drainage area, have been affected. The Fraser River is one of the most productive salmon rivers in the world; its lakes and tributaries provide spawning habitat for all five species of Pacific salmon and more than 100 other species of fish. The basin is also home to 63% of British Columbia's population, with many people living close to or within the broad floodplain in the Lower Mainland. Approximately 62 000 ha of agricultural, residential and commercial land within this floodplain are protected behind 320 km of dikes built along the river. In snow-dominated areas, such as British Columbia's interior, the loss of forest cover due to pine death and salvage harvesting results in higher snow accumulation over the winter and higher melt rates during the spring. This effect, combined with a loss of transpiration (i.e., dead trees do not extract moisture from the soil), generally results in more water available for local runoff. This leads to potential increases in magnitude and frequency of peak-discharge events. Changes in the peak flow can translate directly to increased flood risk and negative impacts on fisheries and aquatic ecosystems. Due to the massive size of the affected area, potential exists for widespread and significant peak-flow changes throughout the basin. The purpose of this project was to assess the potential for impacts and changes to the peak-flow regime throughout various sub-basins of the Fraser River watershed. The vast size and the physical complexity of the Fraser River Basin make it extremely difficult to directly measure the hydrologic effects of beetle kill and salvage harvesting. As a result, a hydrology model has been used to assess the hydrologic consequences of the current outbreak. The model was used to examine streamflow impacts for 60 sub-basins within the Fraser River Basin. The sub-basins ranged in size from 400 km2 to 217 000 km2. Peak-flow impacts were projected as a function of change in forest cover representing mountain pine beetle mortality and various levels of subsequent salvage of pine-forested areas within each of the sub-basins. The simulation results indicate: o Forest disturbance tends to increase peak-flow magnitudes, with relative change in magnitude increasing with disturbance severity. - Peak flow shows more sensitivity (defined as the magnitude of change for a given disturbance) to cumulative effects of beetle-kill and salvage harvesting than to beetle-kill alone. - Basins with high proportional runoff from pine-forested areas tend to be more sensitive to disturbance than basins with low proportional runoff from pine-forested areas do. - Basins that have a topological connection to the non-forested areas of the sub-alpine and alpine regions of the Coast, Columbia or Rocky mountain ranges tend to have low proportional runoff (and low sensitivity to forest disturbance). Peak-flow sensitivity to beetle-related disturbance is specific to each region. The section of the Fraser River main stem from Prince George to Hope and its major tributaries (i.e., North and South Thompson Rivers at Kamloops, Quesnel River at Quesnel, and the Chilcotin River) show little sensitivity to beetle-related disturbance. Streamflow at these locations, which drains from a large area and is predominantly composed of snowmelt runoff from the high snowfields of the Coast, Columbia and Rocky Mountains, is largely unaffected by forest-cover changes taking place on the pine-dominated Interior Plateau. The greatest sensitivity to infestation-induced forest disturbance is exhibited by modestly-sized sub-basins located on the Interior Plateau (i.e., Baker Creek, West Road River, Salmon River, Mahood River, and parts of the Nechako and Stuart drainages). These areas are characterized by pine-dominated forest cover (i.e., potentially high-disturbance areas) and low topographic relief (i.e., no significant regions of sub-alpine or alpine runoff). In these areas, where sensitivity is high, peak-flow changes can be substantial and merit further investigation with respect to beetle-infestation impacts on channel morphology, water quality and aquatic ecosystems. Further studies on potential local changes to flood risk are also merited.

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