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Climate Change Scenario
A climate change scenario is a description of a possible future climate based on assumptions of how the earth’s climate operates, future world population levels, economic activity and greenhouse gas emissions. We have interpolated several climate change scenarios for use in climate change impact studies.
Models of average monthly minimum and maximum temperature and total precipitation are available at this web site for the CGCM2, HadleyCM3 and CSIRO-Mk2, A2 and B2 scenarios for the following 30-year average periods: 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. The models can be viewed or downloaded. The future scenario values can also be compared to current (1971-2000) averages. Models for individual years (2011-2100) are available by request from Dan McKenney.
Please see our report "High-resolution climate change scenarios for North America" for technical details and the full description of all the data that have been generated.
Information about climate variables:
Information about Models
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A2 Scenario family |
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B2 Scenario family |
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CGCM2 (Canadian General Circulation Model 2) |
For more information on the CGCM2 model see: http://www.cccma.bc.ec.gc.ca/ |
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HADCM3 (Hadley Circulation Model 3) |
For more information on the Hadley climate model see: http://www.cccma.bc.ec.gc.ca/ |
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CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation) |
For more information on the CSIRO climate model see: http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/hennessy_1998a.html#ccm |
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Additional Links |
For more information about climate change scenario data see the
International Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) Data Distribution
Centre (UK) - http://ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk/ |