Forest Change Data Catalogue
Fire
Fire season end (Boulanger, Y., Carr R.)
The fire season is the period(s) of the year during which fires are likely to start, spread and do enough damage to justify organized fire suppression. The fire season ends with the onset of winter, generally following 3 consecutive days of snow cover. If there is no snow data, the fire season end date occurs following 3 consecutive days with noon temperatures lower than or equal to 5°C. The delay in the fire season end date relative to the reference period is presented here.
Data provided by: Yan Boulanger
Reference: Boulanger, Y., Gauthier, S., et al. 2014. A refinement of models projecting future Canadian fire regimes using homogeneous fire regime zones. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 44, 365-376.
| Years | Scenario | Description | Data Type | Link | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1981-2100 | RCP 2.6; RCP 8.5 | A comparison of the projected fire season end date between the reference period and different climate change scenarios and time periods. | Download (2.5 MB) | ||
| 1981-2010 | RCP Reference Period | The average fire season end date calculated for a period from 1981-2010. This base line can be compared to the predicted delay in the fire season end date for various future climate scenarios. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2011-2040 | RCP 2.6 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2011 to 2040 under RCP 2.6, which assumes greenhouse gas emissions will be rapidly reduced. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2041-2070 | RCP 2.6 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2041 to 2070 under RCP 2.6, which assumes greenhouse gas emissions will be rapidly reduced. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2071-2100 | RCP 2.6 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2071 to 2100 under RCP 2.6, which assumes greenhouse gas emissions will be rapidly reduced. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2011-2040 | RCP 4.5 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2011 to 2040 under RCP 4.5, which assumes moderate reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2041-2070 | RCP 4.5 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2041 to 2070 under RCP 4.5, which assumes moderate reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2071-2100 | RCP 4.5 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2071 to 2100 under RCP 4.5, which assumes moderate reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2011-2040 | RCP 8.5 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2011 to 2040 under RCP 8.5, which assumes continued increases in greenhouse gas emissions. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2041-2070 | RCP 8.5 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2041 to 2070 under RCP 8.5, which assumes continued increases in greenhouse gas emissions. | Download (1.3 MB) | ||
| 2071-2100 | RCP 8.5 | The projected delay of the end of the fire season, compared to the reference period, for the period of 2071 to 2100 under RCP 8.5, which assumes continued increases in greenhouse gas emissions. | Download (1.3 MB) |