Canadian Forest Service Publications

The use of fractal dimension to improve wildland fire perimeter predictions. 1993. McAlpine, R.S.; Wotton, B.M. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 23: 1073-1077.

Year: 1993

Available from: National Capital Region

Catalog ID: 10776

Language: English

CFS Availability: PDF (request by e-mail)

Abstract

Fire managers currently use simple elliptical models to predict the perimeter of a fire when the fire starts from single point. However, when examined closely wildland fire perimeters are highly irregular. We tested the hypothesis that a fire is actually fractal in nature and thus the true length of a fire perimeter depends on the amount of fine-edge detail included in the measurement. The amount of perimeter detail incorporated is dependent on the length of the base unit of measurement; the longer the unit, the less the perimeter detail, and the shorter the perimeter. Different forest fire suppression techniques have inherent scale characteristics that are associated with different base unit measurements of perimeter; therefore, the length of the fire perimeter is dependent on the suppression technique used. Analysis of 14 forest-fire perimeters yields a consistent fractal dimension of 1.15, and a relationship was found to adjust predicted fire perimeter with this fractal dimension for a specific unit measurement length. The factal length of fire fronts between two identifiable points can also be calculated given the base unit measurement of the suppression technique. This information should improve fire managers' ability to optimally dispatch suppression resources to forest fires.

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