Canadian Forest Service Publications

How serious is the mountain pine beetle problem? from a timber supply perspective. 2004. Pedersen, L. Pages 10-18 in T.L. Shore, J.E. Brooks, and J.E. Stone, editors. Mountain Pine Beetle Symposium: Challenges and Solutions, October 30-31, 2003, Kelowna, British Columbia, Canada. Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Pacific Forestry Centre, Victoria, British Columbia, Information Report BC-X-399. 298 p.

Year: 2004

Issued by: Pacific Forestry Centre

Catalog ID: 25029

Language: English

Availability: PDF (download)

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Timber supply analyses were undertaken to assess the potential mid-term timber supply impacts of the ongoing mountain pine beetle infestation in British Columbia. Twelve management units in central British Columbia comprising 43% (9.9 million ha) of the provincial timber harvesting land base were assessed. The 12-unit analysis projected a significant decline in timber supply 15 years from now, when killed trees might deteriorate beyond a merchantable condition. The projected reduction in mid-term timber supply was 19% relative to the pre-uplift annual allowable cut (AAC) (23.2 million cubic meters). A timber supply impact assessment was completed separately for the Quesnel timber supply area (TSA). The impact for this very infested area could be up to 29% compared to the pre-uplift level (2.248 million cubic meters). Similar to the aggregated 12-unit analysis, the decline is forecast to coincide with the deterioration of killed timber, or in about 15 years from now. Solutions are presented which could mitigate the mid-term reduction in timber supply.